Ok, I know this is a little out of the blue since we've only made three of four posts in the last ohhh... three or four months, but my friend Stan and I wanted to share our Round 1 playoff picks for this weekend's set of NFL games.
Game 1:
New York Jets @ Cincinnati Bengals -2.5
Stan says: "The Jets simply lucked their way into the playoffs. They finished the season by winning 5 of their last 6, but their wins were against the pre-Matt Moore Panthers, the Bills, the Bucaneers, the Colts second string, and the Bengals. They lost against the Falcons because Atlanta shut down the run and made Sanchez throw to beat them. He couldn’t. I see the Bengals crowding the line and making Sanchez air it out, which will likely not end well. Sanchez’s poor game last Sunday was overshadowed by the success in the running game. So, look for a low scoring Bengals win. 17-10 Bengals."
Conor says: "I'm not even going to break this game down. I will sum this game up in 5 words...
Mark Sanchez on the road. Bengals win! Bengals win! 22-15!"
Conor's pick: Cincinnati
Stan's pick: CincinnatiGame 2:
Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys -4Conor says: "The Eagles are banged up and the Cowboys have been playing very well as of late. Key wins in the last few weeks include knocking off the then undefeated New Orleans Saints on the road. We can't dismiss the fact that this matchup features two notoriously incompetent coaches though, Andy Reid and Wade Phillips. And on a short week, anything can happen. If I were betting on this game I'd stay away...but if someone put a gun to my head, I'd have to take the Cowboys. They seem to have hit their stride. Cowboys win 24-17."
Stan says: "I think you can throw that week 17 game out. The Eagles are not as bad as they played, and the Cowboys are not as good as they played. This is a much more evenly matched game. Both teams should move the ball, but I see the Eagles defense stepping up and forcing a big turnover or two. Add that with a couple big plays in the Eagles passing game and I think the Eagles can pull it off. 27-24 Eagles."
Stan's pick: Philly
Conor's Pick: DallasGame 3
Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots -4Stan says: "The Patriots are playing this without Welker, but they still have the advantage with their passing game. The Ravens are weak at the CB position. Look for them to provide some over the top help on Moss with the safeties. This should open up the short passing game, and the middle of the field. The Ravens have a very good running game, and Flacco has a strong arm. Look for them to keep the ball on the ground for most of the game and go deep a few times with play-action. I think this game depends on if the Patriots can get some pressure on Flacco. On the whole, they don’t have very good receivers, but Flacco will find the open man if he’s given all day back there. I think each team will make 1 or 2 big plays on offense, but most of the scoring should come from driving the ball down the field. Patriots 24-20."
Conor says: "Wes Welker is a devastating injury to the Patriots. Having said that (Curb Your Enthusiasm, anyone?), Julian Edelman represents a very formidable backup, almost a Welker clone when he's out there. The Patriots still have an advantage in the passing game against Baltimore's secondary despite a banged up Tom Brady, and though the Ravens have a strong running attack against a weak Patriots rush defense...Joe Flacco is a big question mark. The Patriots were 8-0 at home this year and they will continue to roll with a 20-13 victory."
Conor's pick: New EnglandStan's pick: New EnglandGame 4
Green Bay Packers @ Arizona Cardinals -2.5Conor says: "Arizona has been very inconsistent all season long and that scares me...because the same could be said about the Cardinals team that ran through the NFC playoffs one year ago. But this isn't the same Arizona team. Kurt Warner has not been as effective and two key guys, Anquan Boldin and Antrelle Roll, are hurt. The Packers have been very impressive late in the season and could be the most dangerous team in the NFC. I think the Packers roll in this one behind a big game game from Aaron Rodgers. Green Bay 33, Arizona 13."
Stan says: "There are too many what-ifs (Boldin, Rogers-Cromartie) with this game to get a good read on it, but I like Green Bay even against a healthy Cardinals team. The Packers hit their stride at the perfect time, and are heading into the playoffs on a roll. To win this game, they need to give Rodgers time to find his receivers. The Cardinals are a high-octane offense and, although their running game has improved, they are still a one dimensional team. Having said that, they are going to be facing one of the better corners in the league in Woodson and they may have to do it without Boldin. Still, expect this to be the high scoring game of the weekend. Packers 31-24."
Stan's pick: Green BayConor's pick: Green Bay